UFC 249 - A Casual's Predictions

Today, as the title says, I'm going to do my predictions for UFC249 which is due to take place in Jacksonville, Florida this weekend.

I'll start with the main event and work my way down.
I'm going to go with Tony Ferguson for the main event. I think he can outlast Justin Gaethje and can recover quicker if he gets rocked.
I'm going with Henry Cejudo in the bantamweight title fight. Having watched his fight with Moraes and seeing his walls decorated with his winnings from wrestling and MMA, I think he has a tenacity and will to win that'll help him find a way no matter what Dominick Cruz comes up with. I also think Cruz's reach and range are overestimated.
I'm going to go with Francis Ngannou in his fight with Jairzinho Rozenstruik. Both have the touch of death in their punches. I doesn't look like they've used much power or technique sometimes and all of a sudden their opponent is down. Rozenstruik is an elite kickboxer, as far as I'm aware, but we have one common denominator to compare them - Alistair Overeem. Overeem was an elite kickboxer before transitioning to MMA and was swiftly dealt with by Francis whereas Rozenstruik was outclassed by a great gameplan until he caught Overeem in the end in what was a controversial stoppage at the time. 
I think Kattar has the skill to overcome the threat from Stephen's power and leg kicks.
I honestly haven't done my research on De Castro and that is why I'm predicting Greg Hardy to win that one.
I'm going to let my heart rule my head for the main preliminary fight. I'm going with Donald Cerrone to beat Anthony Pettis. I corrected last week's blog after seeing their first fight. It was an easy win for Pettis. But Cowboy is in the prelims now and the pressure is off after his poor showing against Conor. So I expect him to show up and put on a good fight.
I'm going with Oleinik to beat Werdum. Although a part of me feels I could be underestimating Werdum.
I'm hoping as much as predicting that the karate hottie Michelle Waterson beats Carla Esparza.
Uriah Hall is capable of beating the best middleweights around on a good day. He beat Gegard Mousasi. If he shows up in good form Saturday I think he'll beat Jacare, but a Jacare win wouldn't surprise me. So my prediction is Uriah Hall for this one.
Not sure about Vicente Luque v Nico Price. I think Luque can do a lot of damage when he gets into a rhythm but, as far as I know, Price is known for unconventional finishes. I'm leaning toward Luque in this one.
I said in a tweet that I don't know who's going to win in the featherweight bout between Mitchell and Rosa. The reason being...? I don't know those fighters to be quite honest.
Finally the 29% loss rate Ryan Spann faces the seemingly eternally happy and smiling Sam Alvey with his 39% loss rate at light heavyweight in the opening fight of the night. I'm going with Alvey for the win in this one but don't ask me why.